Reddit Roundup Pokémon TCG Reddit: Modern Singles Keep Sliding While GameStop Sells a $10,000 Pack
Each week we read the busiest Pokémon TCG corners of Reddit and put verified Catchinary price data next to the conversation. This week of October 18, 2026, Pokémon TCG Reddit spent its market energy on two things: modern singles that keep getting cheaper, and a GameStop pack that costs $10,000. The price data agrees with the first complaint. The Mega Evolution era special illustration rares we track lost more than a fifth of their value in three weeks, while the older Paldean Fates chase cards barely moved.
Key takeaways
- The Pitch Black Mega Darkrai ex special illustration rare fell from $180.33 to $138.56 since September 25, and the Chaos Rising Mega Greninja ex from $156.68 to $122.01.
- "The fall of perfect order" drew 146 comments on r/PokemonInvesting. The set's top card, the Mega Zygarde ex Mega Hyper Rare, slid from $107.29 to $93.70.
- A "keep buying modern" post quoted haggled prices 11 to 21 percent under Catchinary's market reads, with the 151 Venusaur ex at $75 against $89.11.
- GameStop's $10,000 Power Pack was r/PokemonInvesting's second biggest thread at 864 upvotes, and almost nobody defended it.
- The 30th Celebration Crystal Lugia that a poster joked could hit $5 by December reads $189.70, down from $296.58.
Perfect Order is falling, and Reddit calls it normal
"The fall of perfect order" was a chart post on r/PokemonInvesting with 232 upvotes and 146 comments. The top reply, at 186, was a jab at the panic: the set is not even a year old and people are already asking whether it holds value. The most useful reply, at 54, said this is how sets behave in a normal market, with singles falling for about six months and then leveling off. Another commenter guessed the box bottoms out around $60, and one at 16 upvotes noted you can now master set three of 2026's sets for close to the price of a booster box.
Catchinary's numbers line up with the chart. Since September 25, the Mega Zygarde ex Mega Hyper Rare went from $107.29 to $93.70, the Meowth ex special illustration rare from $97.78 to $87.24, and the Mega Zygarde ex special illustration rare from $48.32 to $39.11. The Mega Clefable ex lost the most of the five we checked, down 19.5 percent to $35.98. The Rosa's Encouragement trainer held up best at $36.97, off about 9 percent.
The set still produced one of r/PokemonTCG's bigger posts. "Pulled these from a perfect order booster box" got 1,329 upvotes for a run of misprinted cards, and the top reply, at 499, warned the poster that similar misprints had recently sold for thousands. Misprints are priced one sale at a time, so no market reference applies to them. The regular cards are a different story, and they are still heading down.
Threads: "The fall of perfect order" · "Pulled these from a perfect order booster box"
Reddit's modern shopping list, checked against the data
A short post titled "Keep buying modern imo" pulled 119 comments, more than twice its upvote count. The poster listed prices they said they could haggle down to on six special illustration rares, and the top reply, at 18, agreed: 151 is out of print and down, and modern slabs can cost less than grading a card yourself. Another reply said they had picked up the Venusaur for $70. Here is how those haggled numbers compare with Catchinary's market reference today.
| Card | Reddit haggle price | Catchinary market, Oct 18 | Sept 25 | 3-week change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 Venusaur ex SIR | $75 | $89.11 | $105.61 | -15.6% |
| 151 Blastoise ex SIR | $100 | $111.84 | $130.40 | -14.2% |
| Paldean Fates Charizard ex SIR | $220 | $256.94 | $266.78 | -3.7% |
| Paldean Fates Gardevoir ex SIR | $135 | $166.59 | $168.21 | -1.0% |
| Chaos Rising Mega Greninja ex SIR | $100 | $122.01 | $156.68 | -22.1% |
| Pitch Black Mega Darkrai ex SIR | $110 | $138.56 | $180.33 | -23.2% |
Two things stand out. The haggled prices sit 11 to 21 percent under market, which is about what you would expect from a cash deal at a show. The bigger signal is the split by era. The two Paldean Fates cards are nearly flat, while the Mega Greninja and Mega Darkrai from this year's sets each lost more than a fifth of their value in three weeks. The 151 pair landed in between. If you buy modern because it looks cheap, the newest cards are the ones still finding a floor.
The counterpoint came as satire. "Should I swap out all my modern for vintage?" drew 112 comments for a post about selling modern to a vendor at 70 percent and buying vintage at all-time highs after watching YouTube. The top reply, at 168, was a one-line yes to selling low and buying high. It reads like a joke because the comments treated it as one, and the reply count shows how many people on that sub are weighing the same trade for real.
Threads: "Keep buying modern imo" · "Should I swap out all my modern for vintage?"
GameStop's $10,000 pack and a week of shill-bid suspicion
"GameStop's $10,000 Pokemon pack gives buyers a 50% chance of losing thousands" was r/PokemonInvesting's second biggest post of the week, at 864 upvotes and 259 comments. It linked Dexerto's report on the top tier of GameStop's Power Packs, which listed a 44.8 percent chance of pulling a card valued at $6,000 to $8,000. The top reply, at 132 upvotes, asked why the community ever saved GameStop. Another compared it to a casino without the regulation. One commenter pointed out that the odds still beat a normal booster pack, which was hard to argue with.
Trust in the high end took more hits. "It's insane how many bids were removed from this card before it actually finished" drew 144 comments about a Fanatics auction, and the top reply, at 124, said they would no longer trust anything on the platform. In "PSA 10 Card value doubled almost overnight," the top comment described money chasing any card with a PSA 10 population under 1,000, across XY, Sun and Moon and early Scarlet and Violet. A reply at 31 upvotes called it a rug pull. Another, at 18, floated the theory that Power Packs need high card values to keep their top tiers stocked. That is speculation, but it explains why the GameStop thread and the pump threads kept bleeding into each other.
If a slab you own suddenly doubles, check whether the raw card moved with it. Every card page on Catchinary shows the raw market price and daily history, and a slab spike with a flat raw price usually means a handful of buyers, not new demand.
Threads: "GameStop's $10,000 Pokemon pack gives buyers a 50% chance of losing thousands" · "It's insane how many bids were removed from this card before it actually finished." · "PSA 10 Card value doubled almost overnight"
30th Celebration: 20,000 packs of pull data and a $190 Lugia
"I recorded 30th pull rates on 20,000 pack openings" was the week's data post on r/PokemonTCG, with 1,305 upvotes and 219 comments. The top reply, at 422, was the joke every pull rate thread earns: you will hit nothing in 60 packs while someone finds an RGB Mew on a Taco Bell bathroom floor. A reply at 114 asked whether any card type had ever been as rare as 1 in 10,000 before. Several people said the rates did not matter much when they still cannot find packs at retail.
The best-loved 30th card of the week was not a chase card. A post about the Classic Collection version of the Aquapolis Crystal Lugia, titled "I don't care if this becomes a $5 card by December," got 2,102 upvotes. The 30th Celebration Classic Collection Lugia reads $189.70 on Catchinary, down 36 percent from $296.58 on September 25. Most of that drop happened in the first two weeks: it read $190.82 on October 11, so the slide has nearly stopped. A $5 Lugia is not on the table. A post framing all of the 30th Pikachus in order took 3,478 upvotes on r/PokemonTCG, and a similar frame showed up on r/pkmntcgcollections a day later.
Threads: "I recorded 30th pull rates on 20,000 pack openings." · "I don't care if this becomes a $5 card by December." · "I put together a frame with all the 30th Pikachus in order!"
Away from the spreadsheet
r/PokemonTCG's top post was a stained glass version of the Paldean Fates "Bubble Mew" at 6,805 upvotes. The card itself, the Paldean Fates Mew ex special illustration rare, reads $863.75 on Catchinary and has barely moved in three weeks, which makes it one of the steadiest modern chase cards we track. Right behind it, a Blastoise grandmaster set progress post took 6,526 upvotes and 494 comments. The top reply, at 777, asked for a motion sensor that plays the "big man Blastoise" song when anyone walks past. Someone else pulled the 151 Blastoise ex special illustration rare from four random singles packs that week, and that card sits at $111.84 in the table above.
On r/PokemonInvesting, "How many of these are actually out in the wild?" drew 246 comments about a Pokémon Center Prismatic Evolutions elite trainer box case, which commenters said was only sold for around 30 minutes before limits kicked in. A new Simplified Chinese Gem Pack Volume 7 Psyduck reveal had a former skeptic admitting the Chinese exclusives have won them over. r/pkmntcgcollections leaned vintage, with all ten 1st Edition Neo Shining cards at 548 upvotes and a "Vintage vs. Modern" binder comparison at 696. r/PokemonTCGDeals was quiet this week, with only one top post, a warning about a TCGplayer seller. Before you pay for any single, the card database shows its current market price, and the markets page tracks the biggest movers.
Threads: "I made the Bubble Mew in stained glass!" · "Blastoise GrandMaster Set Progress Post!" · "four random 151 singles and pulled a big man Blastoise SIR!" · "How many of these are actually out in the wild?" · "New Psyduck Announced! Gem Pack Volume 7" · "All 10 Neo Shining Cards 1st Edition" · "Vintage vs. Modern"
FAQ
What is Pokémon TCG Reddit talking about this week?
Falling modern prices and gambling. On r/PokemonInvesting the biggest market threads were a $10,000 GameStop Power Pack (864 upvotes, 259 comments), "The fall of perfect order" (146 comments) and a debate over whether to keep buying modern or move into vintage. On r/PokemonTCG the busiest posts were collection showcases, led by a Blastoise grandmaster set at 6,526 upvotes and 494 comments.
Are Perfect Order card prices dropping?
Yes. Between September 25 and October 18, 2026, Catchinary's TCGplayer market reference for the Mega Zygarde ex Mega Hyper Rare fell from $107.29 to $93.70, the Meowth ex special illustration rare from $97.78 to $87.24, and the Mega Clefable ex special illustration rare from $44.67 to $35.98. The top reply in the r/PokemonInvesting thread said modern singles usually fall for about six months after release before leveling off.
Is now a good time to buy 151 and Paldean Fates singles?
Reddit thinks so, and the prices are lower than a month ago. The 151 Venusaur ex special illustration rare reads $89.11 on Catchinary, down from $105.61 on September 25, and the 151 Blastoise ex reads $111.84, down from $130.40. Paldean Fates held steadier: the Charizard ex reads $256.94 and the Gardevoir ex $166.59, both within 4 percent of where they were three weeks ago. Prices can keep falling, so none of this is a guarantee.
What are the odds on GameStop's $10,000 Pokémon Power Pack?
Dexerto reported that the $10,000 tier listed a 44.8 percent chance of a card valued at $6,000 to $8,000, which means losing money on almost half of all pulls if those values are accurate. r/PokemonInvesting mostly treated it as a casino product, with the top reply asking why the community ever saved GameStop.
How much is the 30th Celebration Crystal Lugia worth?
The Classic Collection Lugia, the 30th Celebration take on the Aquapolis Crystal Lugia, reads $189.70 on Catchinary as of October 18, 2026. It was $296.58 on September 25. A post on r/PokemonTCG joking that it could be a $5 card by December drew 2,102 upvotes, and the price is nowhere near that.